Why your savings and pensions are at risk

The fractional reserve way of creating money means a lot of people are at risk of losing all or part of their savings and pensions.

If there is too much money supply in the economy then we have inflation and people with savings or pensions lose some of their purchasing power and those who owe money benefit because they repay their loans with less purchasing power.  Now you know why governments and the people who speak on their behalf promote mild inflation.  This is at least unauthorized taxation if not theft.

pexels-photo-2105902If you have deflation, then people who are owed money win because they are repaid with more purchasing power than they loaned.  The borrowers lose because they have to repay with more purchasing power.

To be fair to everyone we need to manage the economy so that just the right amount of money is available at all times.  At a time when the economy is on a down trend, this is very important as too much money puts us in danger of hyperinflation.

Getting this amount right has long been a challenge to central banks although the common sense answer is fairly simple.  The money supply should vary with the quantity of goods and services we want to exchange and it should be flexible up and down.

The wrench in the simplicity is the fractional reserve way of creating money.  When banks make loans they must (or should) keep a fraction of the amount on reserve for when the depositor wants his/her money returned.  As the amount is only a fraction banks are at risk of a “run” if depositors lose faith.  And because of the fractional reserve there is a multiplier effect involved.  Does not this sound like a set up for a crisis?  The mechanics of this process are a little complex although I have always found it easy to understand. To figure it out I suggest you Google “fractional reserve” or look at my free e book Funny Money: Adapting to a Down Economy or look at the essay Going to Market on this weblog.

The other end of the wrench is  that interest is charged on the loans made by the banks.  Mainstream economists have given little or no thought to the consequences of this. Because all of our money is created by the making of loans, if all the outstanding debt were to be paid off at one time there would not be enough money to repay it all because of the interest.  The charging of interest on the debt/money means there is never enough money available to repay all outstanding debt. Inflation is built into the fractional reserve way of creating money.

The system works only so long as the economy and the money supply continues to grow.  An upset in either means crisis of which we have had many.

The relationship between money supply and economic output is expressed in a formula, MV=PQ, some times known as the quantity theory of money.  Money times the velocity at which it circulates in the economy is equal to a price index times the quantity of goods and services produced.

I get ticked off because this is frequently taken to mean there is a direct, proportional relationship between the money supply and the inflation rate or price level.   Can’t people see there are four variables in this formula?  Total output is an important part of this formula.  If it should happen to go down something needs to happen to another variable.

Our society has a strong commitment to economic growth and a need to keep it growing so that people will not suffer from unemployment.   Some desperate people are trying to stimulate growth by increasing the money supply. This may increase inflation but it will not lead to growth unless we can find inexpensive energy and mineral resources to support it.  I suspect the new American president has  his eye on parks and reserve lands to encourage more economic activity.  He will probably succeed in the short term to be followed by a major economic collapse.

This blogger thinks we need some major economic reforms, not only in our financial system but in our commitment to economic growth.  We need to minimize our production and exchange of goods and services so we are using fewer energy and mineral resources.

A lot  of people operate on faith in our financial system and ignore suggestions we need reform.  I think the risk is so great that prudent people will at least give some thought to these issues.  It is your savings and your pensions and your future that is at risk.



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Corporate profits, taxation and the market economy

Firms avoiding the payment of income taxes are good for headlines, but if we had a truly competitive market economy, the taxation of corporate profits would not be an issue because there would be no profits to tax.

Some people think profits are a divine right for entrepreneurs and shareholders and others see them as evil.  I see them as an  indication of the extent to which our so-called market economy is not performing the way we like to believe it does.

In a market economy a firm making profits is a signal for others to get into that field.  Competition will then force prices down till an equilibrium is reached at which there are wages and a return on investment but no profits.

Generally, the owners of businesses want to limit competition to  make as much profit as they can.  The most effective way is to get governments to pass legislation which restricts competition.   Governments are usually willing.  It is an easy way to repay obligations to supporters.  Licensing, trade restrictions, subsidies, copyright and patents all restrict competition.  The result is that consumers pay more than they should and firms make profits.   During the recent golden age of prosperity most people didn’t notice but now that things are much tighter we are noticing growing inequality and the disappearance of the middle class.

I think there is a pattern here.  Firms get legislation to limit competition and when the profits become too much for people to accept the calls for reform result in regulations.  As corporations have more lobbying power than consumers the regulations, if anything, restrict competition even more.

As profits result from a lack of competition the extent to which firms make profits are an indication of the extent to which we do not have a market economy.

If we really believed in economic equality and if we really want to limit profits we would repeal legislation that restricts competition.


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